# Predictions

<p align="center"><strong>🚧 Our new Prediction Market data is a work in progress! 🚧</strong></p>

Trade on outcomes of elections, sports events, crypto milestones, and more. Defined allows users to discover Polymarket & Kalshi hosted market-driven probability forecasts, in a unified predictions interface.

<figure><img src="https://1684109365-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2F-MVOXpj9hcGfNWdz-V48%2Fuploads%2FmD7e27P9lnzrNHpVPgaL%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=aacaf27d-7076-4cdb-863b-312efbed6431" alt="" width="563"><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

#### Discovering Events

Add a **Discover Polymarket (or Kalshi) Events** panel to browse active markets. Filter by:

* **Trending** - Most active events by volume
* **Category** - Politics, sports, crypto, entertainment, etc.
* **Watchlists** - Events you're following

Click any event to see available markets, current odds, and trading activity.

<figure><img src="https://1684109365-files.gitbook.io/~/files/v0/b/gitbook-x-prod.appspot.com/o/spaces%2F-MVOXpj9hcGfNWdz-V48%2Fuploads%2FwHuyPL7EhQXPfFAXahL5%2Fimage.png?alt=media&#x26;token=f9bcf836-40af-424b-9e32-3680d25bfd81" alt="" width="563"><figcaption><p>Example of current prediction markets</p></figcaption></figure>

#### Trading Predictions

Add these panels to trade prediction markets:

* **Predictions Markets** - List of available outcomes for an event
* **Predictions Trade** - Place bets on specific outcomes
* **Predictions Event Chart** - Probability changes over time
* **Predictions Order Book** - Real-time order book
* **Predictions Positions** - Track your open positions and P\&L

#### How It Works

Prediction markets let you buy shares representing different outcomes. Shares pay $1 if that outcome occurs, $0 if it doesn't. Current prices reflect market consensus on probability.

Example: If "Yes" shares trade at $0.65, the market estimates a 65% chance that outcome happens.