> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://docs.defined.fi/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://docs.defined.fi/defined-docs/defined-beta/discovery-and-search/predictions.md).

# Predictions

<p align="center"><strong>🚧 Our new Prediction Market data is a work in progress! 🚧</strong></p>

Trade on outcomes of elections, sports events, crypto milestones, and more. Defined allows users to discover Polymarket & Kalshi hosted market-driven probability forecasts, in a unified predictions interface.

<figure><img src="/files/6X1BSi0QoBYv2tk0kGT4" alt="" width="563"><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

#### Discovering Events

Add a **Discover Polymarket (or Kalshi) Events** panel to browse active markets. Filter by:

* **Trending** - Most active events by volume
* **Category** - Politics, sports, crypto, entertainment, etc.
* **Watchlists** - Events you're following

Click any event to see available markets, current odds, and trading activity.

<figure><img src="/files/InYe6PU7K2Wt5MGJNbKB" alt="" width="563"><figcaption><p>Example of current prediction markets</p></figcaption></figure>

#### Trading Predictions

Add these panels to trade prediction markets:

* **Predictions Markets** - List of available outcomes for an event
* **Predictions Trade** - Place bets on specific outcomes
* **Predictions Event Chart** - Probability changes over time
* **Predictions Order Book** - Real-time order book
* **Predictions Positions** - Track your open positions and P\&L

#### How It Works

Prediction markets let you buy shares representing different outcomes. Shares pay $1 if that outcome occurs, $0 if it doesn't. Current prices reflect market consensus on probability.

Example: If "Yes" shares trade at $0.65, the market estimates a 65% chance that outcome happens.


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