crystal-ballPredictions

Discover real-world trending prediction events from Polymarket and Kalshi.

🚧 Our new Prediction Market data is a work in progress! 🚧

Trade on outcomes of elections, sports events, crypto milestones, and more. Defined allows users to discover Polymarket & Kalshi hosted market-driven probability forecasts, in a unified predictions interface.

Discovering Events

Add a Discover Polymarket (or Kalshi) Events panel to browse active markets. Filter by:

  • Trending - Most active events by volume

  • Category - Politics, sports, crypto, entertainment, etc.

  • Watchlists - Events you're following

Click any event to see available markets, current odds, and trading activity.

Example of current prediction markets

Trading Predictions

Add these panels to trade prediction markets:

  • Predictions Markets - List of available outcomes for an event

  • Predictions Trade - Place bets on specific outcomes

  • Predictions Event Chart - Probability changes over time

  • Predictions Order Book - Real-time order book

  • Predictions Positions - Track your open positions and P&L

How It Works

Prediction markets let you buy shares representing different outcomes. Shares pay $1 if that outcome occurs, $0 if it doesn't. Current prices reflect market consensus on probability.

Example: If "Yes" shares trade at $0.65, the market estimates a 65% chance that outcome happens.

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